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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 85.6x - 94.6x | 90.1x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 27.7x - 30.6x | 29.1x |
| Fair Value | EGP 2.47 - EGP 2.73 | EGP 2.60 |
| Upside | -29.1% - -21.6% | -25.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Cairo Oil & Soap Company | COSG | CASE:COSG |
| Arabian Food Industries Company (DOMTY) - S.A.E | DOMT | CASE:DOMT |
| Ismailia / Misr Poultry Company S.A.E | ISMA | CASE:ISMA |
| The Arab Dairy Products Co. | ADPC | CASE:ADPC |
| Cairo Poultry Company S.A.E. | POUL | CASE:POUL |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | ZEOT | CASE:ZEOT |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| COSG | DOMT | ISMA | ADPC | POUL | ZEOT | ||
| CASE:COSG | CASE:DOMT | CASE:ISMA | CASE:ADPC | CASE:POUL | CASE:ZEOT | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | 28.5% | 2.7% | 34.5% | 44.3% | -18.8% | |
| 3Y CAGR | NM- | 69.2% | 9.0% | 177.5% | 75.3% | NM- | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -35.4% | 14.9% | 3851.1% | -19.7% | 57.4% | -83.2% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | -43.0% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 8.3% | 19.3% | 0.4% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.7% | 12.4% | -96.4% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 0.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 12.5% | 83.3% | 12.4% | 26.2% | 0.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 11.6% | 84.6% | 10.0% | 28.6% | 0.2% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 1.43x | 0.88x | 16.21x | 1.11x | 0.37x | 0.21x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 24.2x | 7.5x | 19.2x | 11.1x | 1.3x | 125.6x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 29.1x | 8.4x | 22.7x | 12.4x | 1.6x | -752.1x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.3x | 11.1x | 24.2x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | -14629.5x | 6.0x | 12.8x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 85.6x | 90.1x | 94.6x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 477 | 502 | 527 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (3) | (3) | (3) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 473 | 498 | 523 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 200.0 | 200.0 | 200.0 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.37 | 2.49 | 2.62 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.37 | 2.49 | 2.62 | 3.48 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -32.0% | -28.4% | -24.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | COSG | DOMT | ISMA | ADPC | POUL | ZEOT | |
| Enterprise Value | 1,344 | 8,072 | 1,044 | 3,258 | 5,702 | 699 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 5 | 699 | 12 | 54 | 3,717 | 27 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (310) | (2,765) | (134) | (1,796) | (161) | (31) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (0) | (0) | (11) | (80) | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 1,039 | 6,005 | 922 | 1,505 | 9,178 | 696 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 3,120.0 | 282.6 | 89.9 | 500.0 | 479.0 | 200.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 0.33 | 21.25 | 10.26 | 3.01 | 19.16 | 3.48 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.33 | 21.25 | 10.26 | 3.01 | 19.16 | 3.48 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |