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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 7.1x - 7.9x | 7.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 2.8x - 3.1x | 2.9x |
| Fair Value | EGP 1.28 - EGP 1.47 | EGP 1.37 |
| Upside | 39.0% - 59.6% | 49.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Medical Packaging Company | MEPA | CASE:MEPA |
| Middle East Glass Manufacturing Company S.A.E. | MEGM | CASE:MEGM |
| Delta Co. For Printing & Packaging S.A.E | DTPP | CASE:DTPP |
| Societe Tunisienne de Verreries | SOTUV | BVMT:SOTUV |
| Rubex International for Plastic and Acrylic Manufacturing | RUBX | CASE:RUBX |
| Universal For Paper and Packaging Materials | UNIP | CASE:UNIP |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | SOTUV | RUBX | UNIP | ||
| CASE:MEPA | CASE:MEGM | CASE:DTPP | BVMT:SOTUV | CASE:RUBX | CASE:UNIP | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 42.4% | 48.5% | 33.6% | 35.2% | 18.7% | 27.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 53.7% | 76.6% | 65.5% | 41.5% | 61.1% | 54.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | -38.0% | 14.7% | 64.7% | -14.5% | 438.0% | 44.4% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 23.9% | 28.1% | 14.4% | 26.2% | 4.6% | 9.5% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 38.9% | 38.7% | 12.0% | 32.8% | 2.5% | 10.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 24.9% | 36.8% | 17.5% | 30.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 23.2% | 34.6% | 16.8% | 30.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.43x | 0.61x | 0.72x | 3.42x | 1.87x | 0.74x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 19.9x | 1.5x | 3.9x | 7.7x | 13.7x | 5.7x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 23.4x | 1.8x | 4.3x | 11.1x | 17.4x | 6.2x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.8x | 11.1x | 23.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 4.4x | 10.7x | 21.1x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 7.1x | 7.5x | 7.9x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 178 | 178 | 178 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,267 | 1,333 | 1,400 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (396) | (396) | (396) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 870 | 937 | 1,004 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 763.8 | 763.8 | 763.8 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.14 | 1.23 | 1.31 | ||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.14 | 1.23 | 1.31 | 0.92 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | 23.9% | 33.4% | 42.8% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MEPA | MEGM | DTPP | SOTUV | RUBX | UNIP | |
| Enterprise Value | 725 | 3,446 | 552 | 815 | 683 | 1,099 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 77 | 881 | 136 | 64 | 6 | 85 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 117 | |
| (-) Debt | (2) | (3,542) | (255) | (343) | (104) | (598) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (22) | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 799 | 785 | 433 | 514 | 585 | 703 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 655.0 | 62.6 | 5.6 | 39.3 | 57.6 | 763.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.22 | 12.54 | 77.41 | 13.10 | 10.16 | 0.92 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.22 | 12.54 | 77.41 | 13.10 | 10.16 | 0.92 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | TND | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |