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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fair Value | EGP 630.85 - EGP 740.02 | EGP 664.92 |
| Upside | 34.6% - 57.9% | 41.8% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
| (EGP in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | |
| Revenue | 2,388 | 2,686 | 2,888 | 2,989 | 3,049 | 3,110 | |
| % Growth | 23.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
| EBITDA | 246 | 389 | 448 | 463 | 472 | 482 | |
| % of Revenue | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
| (EGP in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | Terminal | |
| EBITDA | 389 | 448 | 463 | 472 | 482 | 482 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (29) | (31) | (32) | (33) | (33) | (54) | |
| EBIT | 361 | 416 | 431 | 440 | 448 | 428 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (83) | (96) | (99) | (101) | (103) | (98) | |
| NOPAT | 173 | 278 | 321 | 332 | 339 | 345 | 330 |
| Capital Expenditures | (87) | (17) | (53) | (54) | (55) | (57) | (57) |
| NWC Investment | 21 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| (+) D&A | 21 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 54 |
| Free Cash Flow | 128 | 304 | 309 | 315 | 319 | 325 | 327 |
| % Growth | 137% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | |