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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
| Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fair Value | EGP 669.14 - EGP 777.46 | EGP 706.73 |
| Upside | 13.4% - 31.7% | 19.8% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||||||||
| (EGP in millions) | Input Projections | |||||||||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | Jun-30 | Jun-31 | Jun-32 | Jun-33 | Jun-34 | |
| Revenue | 2,388 | 2,686 | 2,888 | 2,989 | 3,049 | 3,110 | 3,172 | 3,235 | 3,300 | 3,366 | 3,433 | |
| % Growth | 23.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | |
| EBITDA | 246 | 389 | 448 | 463 | 472 | 482 | 492 | 501 | 511 | 522 | 532 | |
| % of Revenue | 10.3% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 15.5% | |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||||||||
| (EGP in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | Jun-30 | Jun-31 | Jun-32 | Jun-33 | Jun-34 | Terminal | |
| EBITDA | 389 | 448 | 463 | 472 | 482 | 492 | 501 | 511 | 522 | 532 | 532 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (29) | (31) | (32) | (33) | (33) | (34) | (35) | (36) | (36) | (37) | (53) | |
| EBIT | 361 | 416 | 431 | 440 | 448 | 457 | 467 | 476 | 485 | 495 | 479 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (83) | (96) | (99) | (101) | (103) | (105) | (107) | (109) | (112) | (114) | (110) | |
| NOPAT | 173 | 278 | 321 | 332 | 339 | 345 | 352 | 359 | 366 | 374 | 381 | 369 |
| Capital Expenditures | (87) | (17) | (53) | (54) | (55) | (57) | (55) | (56) | (56) | (56) | (56) | (56) |
| NWC Investment | 21 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| (+) D&A | 21 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 37 | 53 |
| Free Cash Flow | 128 | 304 | 309 | 315 | 319 | 325 | 334 | 341 | 349 | 357 | 366 | 366 |
| % Growth | 137% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | |