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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 2.5x - 2.8x | 2.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.4x - 1.5x | 1.5x |
Fair Value | EGP 53.58 - EGP 59.22 | EGP 56.40 |
Upside | -3.5% - 6.7% | 1.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | - | CASE:MASR |
Arab Real Estate Investment Co. | - | CASE:RREI |
Emaar Misr for Development Company (S.A.E.) | - | CASE:EMFD |
Sixth of October for Development and Investment Company "SODIC" (S.A.E.) | - | CASE:OCDI |
Arab Company For Land Reclamation | - | CASE:EALR |
Talaat Moustafa Group Holding | - | CASE:TMGH |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MASR | RREI | EMFD | OCDI | EALR | TMGH | |||
CASE:MASR | CASE:RREI | CASE:EMFD | CASE:OCDI | CASE:EALR | CASE:TMGH | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 30.9% | 12.2% | 27.3% | 12.6% | -4.7% | 29.4% | ||
3Y CAGR | 56.0% | 29.3% | 19.7% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 40.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -21.6% | -0.4% | 57.1% | 0.0% | -18.5% | 47.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 24.2% | 15.3% | 48.9% | 13.6% | 1.6% | 16.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 22.8% | 18.4% | 43.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | 10.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 30.0% | 8.1% | 79.0% | 25.9% | 1.3% | 22.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 27.8% | 2.8% | 54.1% | 28.9% | 1.0% | 23.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 2.9x | 131.5x | 1.8x | 5.0x | 165.1x | 10.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.2x | 7.0x | 2.1x | 2.0x | 3.7x | 2.5x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 4.4x | 252.9x | 4.0x | 6.8x | 362.2x | 10.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 2.1x | 7.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.9x | 1.2x | 3.0x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 2.5x | 2.6x | 2.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 45,305 | 45,305 | 45,305 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 113,045 | 118,994 | 124,944 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,061.2 | 2,061.2 | 2,061.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 54.84 | 57.73 | 60.62 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 54.84 | 57.73 | 60.62 | 55.51 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.2% | 4.0% | 9.2% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MASR | RREI | EMFD | OCDI | EALR | TMGH | |
Value of Common Equity | 9,714 | 520 | 49,948 | 20,984 | 493 | 114,416 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 2,135.0 | 246.4 | 5,446.9 | 356.2 | 5.2 | 2,061.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 4.55 | 2.11 | 9.17 | 58.91 | 94.72 | 55.51 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 4.55 | 2.11 | 9.17 | 58.91 | 94.72 | 55.51 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |