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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -6.3x - -7.0x | -6.6x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 66.2x - 73.2x | 69.7x |
Fair Value | EGP 37.78 - EGP 41.76 | EGP 39.77 |
Upside | -49.2% - -43.8% | -46.5% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Cairo Poultry Company S.A.E. | - | CASE:POUL |
Arabian Food Industries Company (DOMTY) - S.A.E | - | CASE:DOMT |
International Company for Agricultural Crops | - | CASE:IFAP |
Mansoura Poultry co.S.A.E | - | CASE:MPCO |
Cairo Oil & Soap Company | - | CASE:COSG |
South Cairo and Giza Flour Mills and Bakeries Company | - | CASE:SCFM |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
POUL | DOMT | IFAP | MPCO | COSG | SCFM | |||
CASE:POUL | CASE:DOMT | CASE:IFAP | CASE:MPCO | CASE:COSG | CASE:SCFM | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 26.2% | 34.5% | 241.9% | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 90.3% | 178.5% | 547.2% | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -123.2% | -25.3% | 16.7% | 54.2% | 124.0% | -159.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 7.4% | 4.8% | 17.9% | 7.0% | -87.9% | -8.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.8% | 4.9% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 3.2% | 17.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 0.0% | 4.4% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 11.0% | 1.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -0.3% | 3.2% | 26.2% | 19.9% | 9.0% | -13.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 1.2x | 7.2x | 107.3x | 4.7x | 21.9x | -2.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.6x | 0.6x | 4.3x | 1.1x | 1.0x | 1.8x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -176.6x | 19.5x | 16.6x | 5.7x | 10.8x | -13.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -176.6x | 10.8x | 19.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -3.3x | -2.0x | 6.5x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -6.3x | -6.6x | -7.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (34) | (34) | (34) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 212 | 223 | 234 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 35.36 | 37.22 | 39.08 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 35.36 | 37.22 | 39.08 | 74.31 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -52.4% | -49.9% | -47.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | POUL | DOMT | IFAP | MPCO | COSG | SCFM | |
Value of Common Equity | 8,747 | 5,672 | 7,969 | 969 | 908 | 446 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 479.0 | 282.6 | 380.0 | 625.0 | 3,120.0 | 6.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 18.26 | 20.07 | 20.97 | 1.55 | 0.29 | 74.31 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 18.26 | 20.07 | 20.97 | 1.55 | 0.29 | 74.31 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |