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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.8x - 3.1x | 2.9x |
| Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Fair Value | EGP 16.95 - EGP 18.19 | EGP 17.57 |
| Upside | -34.6% - -29.8% | -32.2% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Trans Oceans Tours | TRTO | CASE:TRTO |
| Remco Tourism Villages Construction | RTVC | CASE:RTVC |
| Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | PHTV | CASE:PHTV |
| Rowad Tourism Company | ROTO | CASE:ROTO |
| El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | ELWA | CASE:ELWA |
| Misr Hotels Company | MHOT | CASE:MHOT |
| Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ROTO | ELWA | MHOT | |||
| CASE:TRTO | CASE:RTVC | CASE:PHTV | CASE:ROTO | CASE:ELWA | CASE:MHOT | |||
| Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 23.1% | 27.3% | 44.8% | NM- | 6.1% | 23.7% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 152.2% | 73.1% | 88.5% | NM- | 52.5% | 183.6% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 70.1% | 470.7% | 82.9% | 299.4% | -72.4% | 43.5% | ||
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 5.9% | 9.9% | 15.0% | -128.5% | -23.8% | 128.1% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 26.7% | -35.8% | 35.9% | -23.7% | -1.1% | 86.1% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 45.6% | 37.1% | 38.2% | -6.7% | 15.1% | 89.1% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 40.1% | 37.1% | 40.7% | 1.5% | -108.4% | 91.0% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 5.03x | 0.09x | 1.35x | 4.13x | 27.13x | 4.44x | ||
| EV / LTM EBIT | 12.6x | 0.2x | 3.3x | 280.4x | -25.0x | 4.9x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 6.06x | 0.16x | 1.78x | 2.99x | 32.57x | 5.54x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.09x | 4.13x | 27.13x | |||||
| Historical EV / LTM Revenue | -198.66x | 3.66x | 7.18x | |||||
| Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.77x | 2.92x | 3.07x | |||||
| (x) LTM Revenue | 1,852 | 1,852 | 1,852 | |||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 5,138 | 5,409 | 5,679 | |||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2,050 | 2,050 | 2,050 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 7,188 | 7,458 | 7,729 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 18.15 | 18.83 | 19.52 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 18.15 | 18.83 | 19.52 | 25.92 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -30.0% | -27.3% | -24.7% | |||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | TRTO | RTVC | PHTV | ROTO | ELWA | MHOT | |
| Enterprise Value | 140 | 552 | 3,245 | 615 | (17) | 8,215 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 31 | 68 | 1,167 | 5 | 58 | 2,112 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 1,228 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 10 | |
| (-) Debt | 0 | (857) | (87) | (94) | (1) | (72) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 14 | (80) | (80) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 170 | 1,004 | 4,245 | 445 | 233 | 10,264 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 246.8 | 27.4 | 17.3 | 182.0 | 396.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.70 | 4.07 | 154.71 | 25.73 | 1.28 | 25.92 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 48.59 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 4.07 | 154.71 | 25.73 | 1.28 | 25.92 | |
| Trading Currency | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 48.59 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |