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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.5x - 3.8x | 3.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.2x - 3.5x | 3.4x |
Fair Value | EGP 15.67 - EGP 17.32 | EGP 16.50 |
Upside | -47.0% - -41.4% | -44.2% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Rowad Tourism Company | - | CASE:ROTO |
Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | - | CASE:PHTV |
El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | - | CASE:ELWA |
Orascom Development Egypt S.A.E. | - | CASE:ORHD |
SHARM DREAMS Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E | - | CASE:SDTI |
Misr Hotels Company | - | CASE:MHOT |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
ROTO | PHTV | ELWA | ORHD | SDTI | MHOT | |||
CASE:ROTO | CASE:PHTV | CASE:ELWA | CASE:ORHD | CASE:SDTI | CASE:MHOT | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 44.8% | 6.1% | 36.1% | 19.5% | 23.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | 88.5% | 52.5% | 45.7% | 88.7% | 183.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 70.8% | 62.9% | -72.4% | 42.2% | 122.7% | 55.4% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -227.5% | 20.9% | 36.0% | 16.3% | -68.6% | 18.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -323.1% | 26.3% | -11.8% | 18.5% | -6.8% | 84.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -20.6% | 29.6% | 5.9% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 101.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 7.4% | 29.6% | -273.2% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 99.6% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -218.8x | 2.5x | -33.6x | 4.1x | 14.3x | 5.8x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.4x | 1.4x | 34.8x | 1.2x | 3.6x | 6.4x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 85.8x | 4.9x | -12.7x | 8.4x | 20.1x | 6.4x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 1.2x | 3.6x | 34.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | -81.0x | 1.8x | 7.8x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.5x | 3.6x | 3.8x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 1,795 | 1,795 | 1,795 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 6,206 | 6,533 | 6,859 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 15.67 | 16.50 | 17.32 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 15.67 | 16.50 | 17.32 | 29.54 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -46.9% | -44.2% | -41.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | ROTO | PHTV | ELWA | ORHD | SDTI | MHOT | |
Value of Common Equity | 582 | 2,953 | 253 | 25,831 | 934 | 11,698 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 17.3 | 27.4 | 182.0 | 1,130.5 | 53.0 | 396.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 33.61 | 107.61 | 1.39 | 22.85 | 17.63 | 29.54 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 33.61 | 107.61 | 1.39 | 22.85 | 17.63 | 29.54 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |