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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 3.5x - 3.9x | 3.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 2.9x - 3.2x | 3.1x |
Fair Value | EGP 15.34 - EGP 16.95 | EGP 16.14 |
Upside | -45.2% - -39.5% | -42.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Trans Oceans Tours | - | CASE:TRTO |
SHARM DREAMS Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E | - | CASE:SDTI |
Remco Tourism Villages Construction | - | CASE:RTVC |
Pyramisa Hotels & Resorts | - | CASE:PHTV |
El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | - | CASE:ELWA |
Misr Hotels Company | - | CASE:MHOT |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TRTO | SDTI | RTVC | PHTV | ELWA | MHOT | |||
CASE:TRTO | CASE:SDTI | CASE:RTVC | CASE:PHTV | CASE:ELWA | CASE:MHOT | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 23.1% | 19.5% | 27.3% | 44.8% | 6.1% | 23.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 152.2% | 88.7% | 73.1% | 88.5% | 52.5% | 183.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 70.1% | 84.4% | 470.7% | 82.9% | -72.4% | 43.5% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 44.1% | -70.9% | -46.9% | 22.2% | 36.0% | 21.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 18.8% | -6.6% | -171.3% | 26.3% | -11.8% | 84.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 55.2% | 18.0% | 47.2% | 29.6% | 5.9% | 101.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 53.6% | 1.6% | 47.2% | 31.1% | -273.2% | 78.5% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 10.4x | 13.7x | 0.2x | 2.1x | -29.9x | 5.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 6.1x | 3.3x | 0.1x | 1.3x | 31.8x | 6.0x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 11.3x | 208.6x | 0.3x | 4.2x | -11.6x | 7.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 3.3x | 31.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | -81.0x | 1.8x | 7.8x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 3.5x | 3.7x | 3.9x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 1,852 | 1,852 | 1,852 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 6,471 | 6,812 | 7,153 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 396.0 | 396.0 | 396.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 16.34 | 17.20 | 18.06 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 16.34 | 17.20 | 18.06 | 28.01 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -41.7% | -38.6% | -35.5% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TRTO | SDTI | RTVC | PHTV | ELWA | MHOT | |
Value of Common Equity | 170 | 913 | 844 | 3,098 | 231 | 11,092 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 53.0 | 246.8 | 27.4 | 182.0 | 396.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.70 | 17.24 | 3.42 | 112.90 | 1.27 | 28.01 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 48.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 17.24 | 3.42 | 112.90 | 1.27 | 28.01 | |
Trading Currency | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 48.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |