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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 2.7x - 3.0x | 2.9x |
Fair Value | EGP 27.19 - EGP 29.01 | EGP 28.08 |
Upside | -0.4% - 6.3% | 2.9% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EGP in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 |
Revenue | 1,438 | 1,726 | 1,941 | 2,087 | 2,160 | 2,203 |
% Growth | 47.3% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 1,352 | 1,381 | 1,553 | 1,670 | 1,728 | 1,763 |
% of Revenue | 94.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% | 80.0% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EGP in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | |
EBITDA | 1,381 | 1,553 | 1,670 | 1,728 | 1,763 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (96) | (108) | (116) | (120) | (123) | |
EBIT | 1,284 | 1,445 | 1,553 | 1,608 | 1,640 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (231) | (260) | (280) | (289) | (295) | |
NOPAT | 1,051 | 1,053 | 1,185 | 1,274 | 1,318 | 1,345 |
Capital Expenditures | (15) | (48) | (54) | (58) | (60) | (61) |
NWC Investment | 40 | 25 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 4 |
(+) D&A | 70 | 96 | 108 | 116 | 120 | 123 |
Free Cash Flow | 1,146 | 1,126 | 1,257 | 1,344 | 1,385 | 1,410 |
% Growth | -2% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 2% |