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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -9.5x - -10.5x | -10.0x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 74.5x - 82.3x | 78.4x |
Fair Value | EGP 0.86 - EGP 0.95 | EGP 0.91 |
Upside | -32.2% - -25.1% | -28.7% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Trans Oceans Tours | - | CASE:TRTO |
SHARM DREAMS Co. for Touristic Investment S.A.E | - | CASE:SDTI |
Orascom Development Egypt S.A.E. | - | CASE:ORHD |
Rowad Tourism Company | - | CASE:ROTO |
Misr Hotels Company | - | CASE:MHOT |
El Wadi for International and Investment Development SAE | - | CASE:ELWA |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TRTO | SDTI | ORHD | ROTO | MHOT | ELWA | |||
CASE:TRTO | CASE:SDTI | CASE:ORHD | CASE:ROTO | CASE:MHOT | CASE:ELWA | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 9.9% | NM- | 35.6% | NM- | 52.5% | -45.7% | ||
3Y CAGR | 65.7% | NM- | 37.0% | NM- | NM- | -58.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 796.1% | -79.9% | 9.9% | 130.9% | 98.1% | -1513.2% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 44.7% | -66.4% | 16.3% | -227.5% | 18.5% | 36.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 37.4% | -7.0% | 18.5% | -323.1% | 84.0% | -11.8% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 36.3% | -6.8% | 14.3% | -20.6% | 101.1% | 5.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 67.4% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 7.4% | 99.6% | -273.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.2x | 18.8x | 3.9x | -217.6x | 5.5x | -28.0x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 10.6x | 4.7x | 1.2x | 6.3x | 6.2x | 30.3x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 15.8x | 70.0x | 8.1x | 85.1x | 6.2x | -11.1x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | 6.2x | 15.8x | 85.1x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -90.0x | -14.5x | 14.9x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -9.5x | -10.0x | -10.5x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (20) | (20) | (20) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 188 | 198 | 208 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 182.0 | 182.0 | 182.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.03 | 1.09 | 1.14 | |||||
FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.03 | 1.09 | 1.14 | 1.27 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -18.6% | -14.4% | -10.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TRTO | SDTI | ORHD | ROTO | MHOT | ELWA | |
Value of Common Equity | 194 | 910 | 26,091 | 506 | 11,104 | 231 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 100.0 | 53.0 | 1,130.5 | 17.3 | 396.0 | 182.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.94 | 17.17 | 23.08 | 29.20 | 28.04 | 1.27 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 50.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.04 | 17.17 | 23.08 | 29.20 | 28.04 | 1.27 | |
Trading Currency | USD | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 50.98 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |