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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 0.5x - 0.6x | 0.6x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.4x - 3.1x | 1.2x |
Fair Value | EGP 3.09 - EGP 3.41 | EGP 3.25 |
Upside | 38.3% - 52.9% | 45.6% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Heliopolis Co. for Housing & Development | - | CASE:HELI |
Real Estate Egyptian Consortium S.A.E | - | CASE:AREH |
Palm Hills Developments S.A.E. | - | CASE:PHDC |
Arab Real Estate Investment Co. | - | CASE:RREI |
Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | - | CASE:MASR |
Cairo for Housing and Development Company (S.A.E) | - | CASE:ELKA |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
HELI | AREH | PHDC | RREI | MASR | ELKA | |||
CASE:HELI | CASE:AREH | CASE:PHDC | CASE:RREI | CASE:MASR | CASE:ELKA | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 46.7% | 2.1% | 30.9% | 2.3% | 23.7% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 142.2% | -8.6% | 58.1% | -4.9% | 118.6% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -80.4% | -92.9% | 49.2% | -83.6% | -11.6% | -97.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 61.4% | 70.4% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 24.2% | 69.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 50.1% | 40.2% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 51.3% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 242.6% | 36.3% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 30.0% | 254.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 170.3% | 3.3% | 12.9% | 2.8% | 26.9% | 8.0% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 55.0% | 5.7% | 15.4% | 2.3% | 21.0% | 12.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 163.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 4.2% | 30.2% | 18.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 22.2% | 0.5% | 28.0% | 0.6% | 26.5% | 0.8% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 11.0% | 4.9% | 34.6% | 1.7% | 30.9% | 21.8% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 13.8% | 4.8% | 27.3% | 1.6% | 28.7% | 20.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 12.6x | 20.0x | 0.7x | 8.2x | 1.0x | 3.9x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 7.3x | 601.0x | 5.5x | 294.9x | 3.8x | 49.0x | ||
Price / Book | 1.6x | 2.8x | 1.4x | 1.6x | 0.9x | 0.4x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 1.6x | 2.8x | 1.2x | 1.6x | 0.7x | 0.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.9x | 1.6x | 2.8x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.4x | 1.2x | 3.1x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 0.5x | 0.6x | 0.6x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 5,219 | 5,219 | 5,219 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | HELI | AREH | PHDC | RREI | MASR | ELKA | |
Value of Common Equity | 13,217 | 436 | 22,164 | 606 | 9,095 | 1,999 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,335.1 | 400.0 | 2,859.9 | 246.4 | 2,135.0 | 896.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 9.90 | 1.09 | 7.75 | 2.46 | 4.26 | 2.23 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 9.90 | 1.09 | 7.75 | 2.46 | 4.26 | 2.23 | |
Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |