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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.6x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.4x - 0.5x | 0.5x |
| Fair Value | EGP 3.73 - EGP 4.12 | EGP 3.92 |
| Upside | 36.5% - 50.9% | 43.7% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| Delta Sugar Company | - | CASE:SUGR |
| Juhayna Food Industries S.A.E. | - | CASE:JUFO |
| Egypt for Poultry | - | CASE:EPCO |
| AJWA For Food Industries Co. Egypt | - | CASE:AJWA |
| Extracted Oil & Derivatives Co. | - | CASE:ZEOT |
| The Arab Dairy Products Co. | - | CASE:ADPC |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| SUGR | JUFO | EPCO | AJWA | ZEOT | ADPC | |||
| CASE:SUGR | CASE:JUFO | CASE:EPCO | CASE:AJWA | CASE:ZEOT | CASE:ADPC | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 21.3% | 26.1% | 33.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 19.5% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 24.2% | 40.3% | 63.5% | 10.9% | 25.0% | 35.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | -4.5% | 56.4% | -57.7% | -17.5% | -15.9% | 41.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.7% | 6.6% | -282.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 15.5% | 5.9% | -36.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 5.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 17.4% | 11.3% | -77.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 2.9% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 15.1% | 11.3% | -74.7% | 5.5% | 0.1% | 2.9% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.8x | 5.2x | -15.7x | 19.1x | 115.5x | 7.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 1.0x | 24.0x | 1.4x | 0.2x | 0.4x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 5.6x | 8.6x | -32.2x | 24.7x | 357.5x | 15.1x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 1.0x | 24.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.4x | 0.5x | 1.4x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.7x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 3,083 | 3,083 | 3,083 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,917 | 2,018 | 2,119 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 500.0 | 500.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 3.83 | 4.04 | 4.24 | |||||
| FX Rate: EGP/EGP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.83 | 4.04 | 4.24 | 2.73 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 40.4% | 47.8% | 55.2% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SUGR | JUFO | EPCO | AJWA | ZEOT | ADPC | |
| Value of Common Equity | 6,589 | 23,629 | 196 | 2,229 | 640 | 1,365 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 142.2 | 941.4 | 42.6 | 20.1 | 200.0 | 500.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 46.34 | 25.10 | 4.61 | 110.93 | 3.20 | 2.73 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 46.34 | 25.10 | 4.61 | 110.93 | 3.20 | 2.73 | |
| Trading Currency | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | EGP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |