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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 2.5x - 2.7x | 2.6x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 2.4x - 2.6x | 2.5x |
Fair Value | S/. 1.34 - S/. 1.66 | S/. 1.50 |
Upside | 33.5% - 65.9% | 49.7% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Union Inmobiliaria S.A. | CLUBUNION | SNSE:CLUBUNION |
Man Sang International Limited | 938 | SEHK:938 |
Kingwell Group Limited | 1195 | SEHK:1195 |
El Kahera Housing | ELKA | CASE:ELKA |
Madinet Masr For Housing and Development | MASR | CASE:MASR |
Inversiones Centenario S.A.A. | INVCENC1 | BVL:INVCENC1 |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
CLUBUNION | 938 | 1195 | ELKA | MASR | INVCENC1 | |||
SNSE:CLUBUNION | SEHK:938 | SEHK:1195 | CASE:ELKA | CASE:MASR | BVL:INVCENC1 | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -4.5% | 10.6% | -14.6% | 30.9% | -1.1% | ||
3Y CAGR | 16.5% | -7.2% | 27.8% | -39.7% | 56.0% | -8.6% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 153.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 28.5% | 4.3% | 7.4% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 13.1% | -57.9% | -23.1% | 23.1% | 35.1% | 25.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 37.7% | -50.4% | 10.6% | 49.2% | 37.7% | 16.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 34.2% | -41.8% | -5.7% | 49.6% | 45.2% | 22.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 53.3% | -39.9% | -3.4% | 49.6% | 45.2% | 22.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 67.27x | 25.27x | 0.13x | 1.88x | 1.19x | 2.21x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 126.2x | -63.4x | -3.8x | 3.8x | 2.6x | 9.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 67.29x | 2.22x | 0.56x | 4.12x | 1.12x | 0.81x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.13x | 1.88x | 67.27x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 1.86x | 2.51x | 4.44x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 2.46x | 2.59x | 2.72x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 716 | 716 | 716 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 1,763 | 1,856 | 1,948 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1,007) | (1,007) | (1,007) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 756 | 848 | 941 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 577.2 | 577.2 | 577.2 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.31 | 1.47 | 1.63 | |||||
FX Rate: PEN/PEN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.31 | 1.47 | 1.63 | 1.00 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 30.9% | 47.0% | 63.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CLUBUNION | 938 | 1195 | ELKA | MASR | INVCENC1 | |
Enterprise Value | 3,244 | 3,248 | 9 | 851 | 10,019 | 1,584 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 36 | 47 | 21 | 3,548 | 144 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,974 | 9 | 94 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (3,000) | (0) | (964) | (3,984) | (1,177) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 2 | (16) | (0) | (135) | (68) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3,245 | 285 | 41 | 1,882 | 9,458 | 577 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 0.0 | 647.2 | 2,894.1 | 896.4 | 2,135.0 | 577.2 | |
Implied Stock Price | 360,500.00 | 0.44 | 0.01 | 2.10 | 4.43 | 1.00 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 360,500.00 | 0.44 | 0.02 | 2.10 | 4.43 | 1.00 | |
Trading Currency | CLP | HKD | HKD | EGP | EGP | PEN | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |