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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.5% - 10.5% | 11.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 11.1x - 13.1x | 12.1x |
Fair Value | S/. 1.34 - S/. 1.86 | S/. 1.60 |
Upside | 33.8% - 86.5% | 59.6% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(PEN in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 716 | 742 | 756 | 771 | 787 | 803 |
% Growth | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 168 | 177 | 181 | 184 | 188 | 192 |
% of Revenue | 23.5% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 23.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(PEN in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 177 | 181 | 184 | 188 | 192 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (6) | (6) | (7) | (7) | (7) | |
EBIT | 171 | 174 | 178 | 181 | 185 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (44) | (45) | (46) | (47) | (48) | |
NOPAT | 120 | 126 | 129 | 132 | 134 | 137 |
Capital Expenditures | #NUM! | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) |
NWC Investment | (24) | (12) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (8) |
(+) D&A | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
Free Cash Flow | #NUM! | 120 | 127 | 130 | 132 | 135 |
% Growth | NM | 6% | 2% | 2% | 2% |