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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.3x - 1.1x | 0.8x |
Fair Value | COP 5,711 - COP 6,312 | COP 6,011 |
Upside | -22.8% - -14.7% | -18.8% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Master Drilling Group Limited | - | JSE:MDI |
Capital Limited | - | LSE:CAPD |
Sociedad Punta del Cobre S.A. | - | SNSE:PUCOBRE |
Sociedad Minera Cerro Verde S.A.A. | - | BVL:CVERDEC1 |
Gold Fields Limited | - | JSE:GFI |
Mineros S.A. | - | BVC:MINEROS |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MDI | CAPD | PUCOBRE | CVERDEC1 | GFI | MINEROS | |||
JSE:MDI | LSE:CAPD | SNSE:PUCOBRE | BVL:CVERDEC1 | JSE:GFI | BVC:MINEROS | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 2.7% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 50.4% | 17.9% | ||
3Y CAGR | -4.5% | -37.3% | -14.3% | -7.2% | 15.0% | 26.0% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -15.4% | -52.9% | 204.9% | 10.3% | 72.4% | 44.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.2% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.5% | 17.7% | 8.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 8.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 16.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 6.4% | 5.0% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 23.9% | 16.1% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 6.4% | 5.0% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 23.9% | 18.4% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 9.1% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 19.2% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 11.5% | 14.8% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 21.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 9.4% | 6.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 25.7% | 28.8% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 9.8% | 5.3% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 42.9% | 40.1% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 36.9% | 30.7% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.5x | 0.7x | 1.9x | 3.3x | 5.5x | 0.9x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 7.0x | 14.2x | 9.1x | 14.3x | 23.0x | 5.0x | ||
Price / Book | 0.7x | 0.9x | 1.4x | 2.0x | 5.5x | 1.3x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 0.6x | 0.9x | 1.3x | 2.1x | 3.5x | 0.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.7x | 1.4x | 5.5x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.3x | 0.8x | 1.1x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.0x | 1.1x | 1.1x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 417 | 417 | 417 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MDI | CAPD | PUCOBRE | CVERDEC1 | GFI | MINEROS | |
Value of Common Equity | 128 | 245 | 771 | 13,932 | 26,729 | 542 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 150.5 | 196.7 | 124.7 | 350.1 | 895.0 | 299.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.85 | 1.25 | 6.19 | 39.80 | 29.86 | 1.81 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.06 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 15.21 | 0.94 | 5,976.80 | 39.80 | 534.54 | 7,400.00 | |
Trading Currency | ZAR | GBP | CLP | USD | ZAR | COP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.06 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 |