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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 2.2x - 2.4x | 2.3x |
| Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 3.1x - 3.5x | 3.3x |
| Fair Value | COP 6,348 - COP 6,883 | COP 6,616 |
| Upside | 5.8% - 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Molibdenos y Metales S.A. | MOLYMET | SNSE:MOLYMET |
| Nexa Resources Atacocha S.A.A. | ATACOAC1 | BVL:ATACOAC1 |
| Minera IRL Limited | MIRL | BVL:MIRL |
| Inno Holdings Inc. | INHD | NasdaqCM:INHD |
| DynaResource, Inc. | DYNR | OTCPK:DYNR |
| Mineros S.A. | MINEROS | BVC:MINEROS |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| MOLYMET | ATACOAC1 | MIRL | INHD | DYNR | MINEROS | ||
| SNSE:MOLYMET | BVL:ATACOAC1 | BVL:MIRL | NasdaqCM:INHD | OTCPK:DYNR | BVC:MINEROS | ||
| Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 5.8% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 18.7% | |
| 3Y CAGR | -9.7% | 2.0% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 26.0% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 73.0% | 22.9% | -37.7% | 20.8% | 43.3% | 30.3% | |
| Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 6.8% | 8.8% | 0.8% | -313.1% | -7.0% | 21.7% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 2.7% | 14.5% | -12.3% | -498.2% | -34.4% | 24.8% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 5.5% | 14.8% | -16.0% | -378.3% | -14.9% | 26.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 5.5% | 14.8% | -16.0% | -340.4% | -14.9% | 26.8% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.41x | -0.12x | 3.23x | 21.32x | 0.98x | 0.61x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.1x | -0.5x | -36.7x | -6.4x | -6.6x | 1.8x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 7.4x | -0.8x | -20.2x | -6.3x | -6.5x | 2.3x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -20.2x | -6.3x | 7.4x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 1.3x | 2.3x | 3.5x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 2.2x | 2.3x | 2.4x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBIT | 145 | 145 | 145 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 314 | 331 | 347 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 88 | 88 | 88 | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 402 | 419 | 435 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 299.7 | 299.7 | 299.7 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 1.34 | 1.40 | 1.45 | ||||
| FX Rate: USD/COP | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5,784.28 | 6,022.08 | 6,259.88 | 6,000.00 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -3.6% | 0.4% | 4.3% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | MOLYMET | ATACOAC1 | MIRL | INHD | DYNR | MINEROS | |
| Enterprise Value | 836 | (9) | 115 | 21 | 45 | 329 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 140 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 99 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | |
| (-) Debt | (438) | (3) | (111) | (0) | (13) | (26) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (8) | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 537 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 29 | 417 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 133.0 | 1,426.9 | 231.1 | 4.4 | 29.3 | 299.7 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 4.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 6.23 | 0.98 | 1.39 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 3,900.00 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 6.23 | 0.98 | 6,000.00 | |
| Trading Currency | CLP | PEN | USD | USD | USD | COP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | |