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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 9.0x - 10.0x | 9.5x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 9.5x - 10.5x | 10.0x |
Fair Value | lei 1.08 - lei 1.16 | lei 1.12 |
Upside | 4.1% - 11.2% | 7.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
S.C. Ropharma S.A. | RPH | BVB:RPH |
S.C. Comturist S.A. | COUT | BVB:COUT |
S.C. Bucur S.A. | BUCV | BVB:BUCV |
Comaliment SA (Resita) | OMAL | BVB:OMAL |
Alimentara SA Slatina | ALRV | BVB:ALRV |
S.C. Moldova S.A. | MODY | BVB:MODY |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
RPH | COUT | BUCV | OMAL | ALRV | MODY | ||
BVB:RPH | BVB:COUT | BVB:BUCV | BVB:OMAL | BVB:ALRV | BVB:MODY | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 22.9% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 5.7% | 9.2% | |
3Y CAGR | 12.6% | NM- | NM- | 60.3% | 2.4% | 11.0% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 21.9% | -1031.4% | 643.7% | 41.3% | 15.0% | 30.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 1.5% | 2.8% | 26.8% | 8.6% | 47.6% | 19.7% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.8% | 1.2% | 32.0% | 17.0% | 43.6% | 24.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.8% | -12.2% | -0.9% | 30.1% | 46.7% | 21.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.8% | -12.2% | 58.2% | 30.1% | 46.7% | 21.5% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.18x | -0.14x | 1.28x | 6.37x | 4.21x | 1.97x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.9x | 12.6x | 2.1x | 15.2x | 6.4x | 5.4x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 10.0x | 1.1x | 2.2x | 21.2x | 9.0x | 9.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 1.1x | 9.0x | 21.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 9.8x | 15.3x | 26.4x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 9.0x | 9.5x | 10.0x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 3 | 4 | 4 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 2 | 2 | 2 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 5 | 6 | 6 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.10 | ||||
FX Rate: RON/RON | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.03 | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.04 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.1% | 2.2% | 5.5% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | RPH | COUT | BUCV | OMAL | ALRV | MODY | |
Enterprise Value | 245 | (0) | 30 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 20 | 6 | 50 | 0 | 8 | 2 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (162) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (14) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 88 | 5 | 80 | 4 | 16 | 6 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 511.3 | 0.2 | 83.3 | 5.9 | 0.4 | 5.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.17 | 32.00 | 0.96 | 0.63 | 40.00 | 1.04 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.17 | 32.00 | 0.96 | 0.63 | 40.00 | 1.04 | |
Trading Currency | RON | RON | RON | RON | RON | RON | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |