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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 14.5x - 16.0x | 15.3x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 11.9x - 13.1x | 12.5x |
Fair Value | лв5.83 - лв6.44 | лв6.14 |
Upside | -25.3% - -17.4% | -21.3% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Toplofikatsia-Burgas AD | - | BUL:TPLB |
Elektro Gorenjska, d. d. | - | LJSE:EGKG |
ENEFI Vagyonkezelo Nyrt. | - | BUSE:ENEFI |
Elektro Ljubljana d.d. | - | LJSE:ELOG |
TAURON Polska Energia S.A. | - | WSE:TPE |
Toplofikatsia-Ruse AD | - | BUL:TPLR |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TPLB | EGKG | ENEFI | ELOG | TPE | TPLR | |||
BUL:TPLB | LJSE:EGKG | BUSE:ENEFI | LJSE:ELOG | WSE:TPE | BUL:TPLR | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 34.7% | -12.0% | 78.5% | -14.1% | NM- | 5.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | -21.4% | NM- | -22.8% | -9.3% | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -151.6% | -64.2% | 395.9% | -41.1% | 1.1% | 130.0% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -2.1% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 6.3% | -1.3% | -7.6% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 7.4% | 17.5% | -35.0% | 9.9% | 2.2% | -24.7% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.6% | 7.0% | 120.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 9.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -13.7% | 7.0% | 120.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 7.0% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -13.9x | 5.5x | -1.0x | 5.2x | 4.2x | 11.6x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 1.1x | 1.0x | 6.5x | 0.7x | 0.4x | 1.4x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -8.2x | 14.4x | 5.4x | 13.3x | 16.0x | 19.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -8.2x | 13.3x | 16.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -5.9x | 5.7x | 13.6x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 14.5x | 15.3x | 16.0x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 11 | 11 | 11 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 163 | 172 | 181 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.3 | 28.3 | 28.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 5.76 | 6.07 | 6.37 | |||||
FX Rate: BGN/BGN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 5.76 | 6.07 | 6.37 | 7.80 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -26.1% | -22.2% | -18.3% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TPLB | EGKG | ENEFI | ELOG | TPE | TPLR | |
Value of Common Equity | 56 | 55 | 2,231 | 86 | 14,529 | 221 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 28.9 | 17.3 | 9.1 | 39.1 | 1,752.5 | 28.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 1.95 | 3.20 | 246.00 | 2.20 | 8.29 | 7.80 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.95 | 3.20 | 246.00 | 2.20 | 8.29 | 7.80 | |
Trading Currency | BGN | EUR | HUF | EUR | PLN | BGN | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |