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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 11.1x - 12.2x | 11.6x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
Fair Value | €0.63 - €0.70 | €0.67 |
Upside | 25.8% - 39.1% | 32.5% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Grand City Properties S.A. | - | DB:GYC |
LAMDA Development S.A. | - | ATSE:LAMDA |
Compañía Española de Viviendas en Alquiler S.A. | - | BME:CEV |
Globe Trade Centre S.A. | - | WSE:GTC |
Adler Group S.A. | - | DB:ADJ |
AS Trigon Property Development | - | BST:UG4 |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
GYC | LAMDA | CEV | GTC | ADJ | UG4 | |||
DB:GYC | ATSE:LAMDA | BME:CEV | WSE:GTC | DB:ADJ | BST:UG4 | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 1.3% | 51.4% | 17.4% | 2.0% | 20.2% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 4.1% | 103.7% | 29.5% | 2.9% | -30.0% | -25.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -1.2% | 15.4% | 94.1% | 2.8% | -11.6% | 1148.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 32.1% | 37.8% | 90.7% | 6.4% | -104.0% | -4.4% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -90.1% | 6.0% | 56.3% | 5.7% | -376.5% | -121.9% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 32.9% | 7.0% | 62.8% | 27.1% | 222.8% | 50.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 38.1% | 5.5% | 62.8% | 22.2% | 218.9% | 46.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 15.7x | 13.4x | 14.3x | 19.3x | -29.1x | NA | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 3.3x | 1.8x | 4.7x | 2.9x | 0.1x | 9.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.6x | 32.5x | 7.4x | 13.2x | 0.0x | 19.9x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 2.9x | 4.7x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 4.4x | 46.6x | 103.3x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 11.1x | 11.6x | 12.2x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 4 | 4 | 4 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.73 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.66 | 0.69 | 0.73 | 0.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 30.4% | 37.2% | 44.1% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | GYC | LAMDA | CEV | GTC | ADJ | UG4 | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,962 | 1,136 | 176 | 566 | 33 | 3 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 176.1 | 171.3 | 23.2 | 574.3 | 151.6 | 5.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 11.14 | 6.63 | 7.60 | 0.98 | 0.22 | 0.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 11.14 | 6.63 | 7.60 | 4.18 | 0.22 | 0.50 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | PLN | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 1.00 |