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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.0% - 9.0% | 9.5% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 4.0x - 4.4x | 4.2x |
Fair Value | ₹2.75 - ₹3.35 | ₹3.04 |
Upside | 8.6% - 32.4% | 20.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 |
Revenue | 226 | 226 | 226 | 226 | 226 | 226 |
% Growth | -34.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
EBITDA | 26 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 |
% of Revenue | 11.4% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(INR in millions) | Mar-25 | Mar-26 | Mar-27 | Mar-28 | Mar-29 | |
EBITDA | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | (9) | |
EBIT | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | 35 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (8) | (8) | (8) | (8) | (8) | |
NOPAT | 12 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
Capital Expenditures | (29) | (22) | (27) | (27) | (27) | (27) |
NWC Investment | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Free Cash Flow | 41 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
% Growth | -65% | -34% | 0% | 0% | 0% |