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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.2x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 4.9x - 5.4x | 5.2x |
Fair Value | R$14.25 - R$15.75 | R$15 |
Upside | 5.4% - 16.5% | 10.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Paranapanema S.A. | - | BOVESPA:PMAM3 |
Tekno S.A. Indústria e Comércio | - | BOVESPA:TKNO4 |
Companhia Brasileira de Alumínio | - | BOVESPA:CBAV3 |
Usinas Siderúrgicas de Minas Gerais S.A. | - | BOVESPA:USIM5 |
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional | - | BOVESPA:CSNA3 |
Electro Aço Altona S.A. | - | BOVESPA:EALT3 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
PMAM3 | TKNO4 | CBAV3 | USIM5 | CSNA3 | EALT3 | |||
BOVESPA:PMAM3 | BOVESPA:TKNO4 | BOVESPA:CBAV3 | BOVESPA:USIM5 | BOVESPA:CSNA3 | BOVESPA:EALT3 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | 27.4% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 31.6% | ||
3Y CAGR | NM- | -10.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | 22.4% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -53.9% | 37.0% | 80.1% | -84.9% | -714.5% | 34.9% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -131.4% | 13.7% | -1.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | -142.9% | 13.3% | -12.4% | 5.0% | -0.7% | 10.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | -465.0% | 16.8% | -2.2% | -0.6% | -5.9% | 11.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -465.0% | 16.8% | -2.2% | 0.5% | -5.9% | 11.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | -21.1x | 1.9x | 6.1x | 6.3x | 5.6x | 3.4x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 0.9x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.6x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -0.1x | 5.2x | -14.5x | 48.0x | -4.8x | 4.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -14.5x | -0.1x | 48.0x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 4.0x | 6.4x | 9.1x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 4.9x | 5.2x | 5.4x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 67 | 67 | 67 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 326 | 343 | 360 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 22.5 | 22.5 | 22.5 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 14.49 | 15.25 | 16.02 | |||||
FX Rate: BRL/BRL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 14.49 | 15.25 | 16.02 | 13.53 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | 7.1% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | PMAM3 | TKNO4 | CBAV3 | USIM5 | CSNA3 | EALT3 | |
Value of Common Equity | 160 | 228 | 2,624 | 6,795 | 12,399 | 304 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 75.4 | 2.9 | 651.1 | 1,230.9 | 1,326.1 | 22.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.12 | 77.32 | 4.03 | 5.52 | 9.35 | 13.53 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.12 | 77.32 | 4.03 | 5.52 | 9.35 | 13.53 | |
Trading Currency | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | BRL | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |