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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 7.1x - 7.8x | 7.4x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 5.7x - 6.3x | 6.0x |
Fair Value | Mex$ 104.09 - Mex$ 112.76 | Mex$ 108.43 |
Upside | -2.6% - 5.5% | 1.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Teleste Oyj | TLT1V | HLSE:TLT1V |
EKINOPS S.A. | EKI | ENXTPA:EKI |
Vtech Holdings Limited | VTCB | DB:VTCB |
Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (publ) | ERIBR | HLSE:ERIBR |
Broadpeak Société anonyme | ALBPK | ENXTPA:ALBPK |
Nokia Oyj | NOK N | BMV:NOKN |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
TLT1V | EKI | VTCB | ERIBR | ALBPK | NOK N | ||
HLSE:TLT1V | ENXTPA:EKI | DB:VTCB | HLSE:ERIBR | ENXTPA:ALBPK | BMV:NOKN | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | -29.0% | NM- | 0.5% | -10.8% | NM- | 1.6% | |
3Y CAGR | -23.6% | NM- | -8.3% | -26.2% | NM- | 3.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1700.0% | -136.5% | -1.1% | -41.6% | -1113.3% | 3.6% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | -4.6% | 13.5% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 0.1% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.3% | 13.6% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.7% | -2.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | -15.7% | 15.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 1.7% | -2.1% | 10.7% | 6.0% | -20.8% | 15.4% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.58x | 0.68x | 0.84x | 0.85x | 0.56x | 1.01x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 35.2x | -32.0x | 7.9x | 14.3x | -2.7x | 6.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 68.6x | -9.7x | 9.3x | 25.1x | -2.7x | 8.9x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -32.0x | 7.9x | 35.2x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.3x | 6.2x | 8.1x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.1x | 7.4x | 7.8x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 2,968 | 2,968 | 2,968 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 20,957 | 22,060 | 23,163 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 5,225 | 5,225 | 5,225 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 26,182 | 27,285 | 28,388 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5,396.5 | 5,396.5 | 5,396.5 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 4.85 | 5.06 | 5.26 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/MXN | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 108.85 | 113.44 | 118.03 | 106.90 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 1.8% | 6.1% | 10.4% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TLT1V | EKI | VTCB | ERIBR | ALBPK | NOK N | |
Enterprise Value | 73 | 70 | 1,691 | 203,476 | 23 | 20,487 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 9 | 46 | 150 | 56,431 | 3 | 8,312 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22,648 | 0 | 1,763 | |
(-) Debt | (34) | (29) | (155) | (45,541) | (12) | (4,760) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,301 | 0 | (90) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 48 | 87 | 1,691 | 238,315 | 15 | 25,712 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 18.2 | 27.0 | 253.0 | 3,332.7 | 12.5 | 5,396.5 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2.64 | 3.24 | 6.68 | 71.51 | 1.18 | 4.76 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 0.04 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.64 | 3.24 | 6.10 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 106.90 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | MXN | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 11.00 | 1.00 | 0.04 |