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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.3x - 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 1.7x - 1.9x | 1.8x |
| Fair Value | €27.17 - €30.03 | €28.60 |
| Upside | -7.8% - 1.9% | -2.9% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
|---|---|---|
| ID Logistics Group SA | - | ENXTPA:IDL |
| Deutsche Post AG | - | DB:DHL |
| bpost NV/SA | - | ENXTBR:BPOST |
| Foodlink A.E. | - | ATSE:FOODL |
| Logwin AG | - | DB:TGHN |
| Logista Integral, S.A. | - | BME:LOG |
| Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| IDL | DHL | BPOST | FOODL | TGHN | LOG | |||
| ENXTPA:IDL | DB:DHL | ENXTBR:BPOST | ATSE:FOODL | DB:TGHN | BME:LOG | |||
| Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 20.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 5.8% | -8.0% | 6.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 19.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 4.0% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 1.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | -1.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 1.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | -1.7% | 6.3% | 2.2% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 1.6% | 3.9% | -4.7% | 0.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 1.6% | 3.9% | -4.7% | 0.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 35.2x | 8.1x | 6.2x | 14.1x | 4.4x | 5.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 0.7x | 0.5x | 0.1x | 0.2x | 0.5x | 0.3x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 44.9x | 12.5x | -1.3x | 26.7x | 10.8x | 12.6x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.1x | 0.5x | 0.7x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.2x | 0.3x | |||||
| Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.3x | |||||
| (x) LTM Sales | 13,112 | 13,112 | 13,112 | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 4,012 | 4,224 | 4,435 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 132.0 | 132.0 | 132.0 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 30.39 | 31.99 | 33.59 | |||||
| FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 30.39 | 31.99 | 33.59 | 29.46 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | 3.2% | 8.6% | 14.0% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | IDL | DHL | BPOST | FOODL | TGHN | LOG | |
| Value of Common Equity | 2,362 | 41,922 | 283 | 16 | 679 | 3,889 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.5 | 1,150.1 | 200.0 | 33.0 | 2.9 | 132.0 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 361.00 | 36.45 | 1.41 | 0.49 | 236.00 | 29.46 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 361.00 | 36.45 | 1.41 | 0.49 | 236.00 | 29.46 | |
| Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |