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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Pb Multiple | 1.1x - 1.2x | 1.2x |
Historical Pb Multiple | 0.0x - 1.5x | 0.8x |
Fair Value | €11.28 - €12.47 | €11.87 |
Upside | -25.1% - -17.2% | -21.2% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Traton SE | - | BIT:18TRA |
DEUTZ Aktiengesellschaft | - | DB:DEZ |
Oshkosh Corporation | - | DB:OK3 |
PACCAR Inc | - | DB:PAE |
Caterpillar Inc. | - | BIT:1CAT |
Iveco Group N.V. | - | BIT:IVG |
Select Price / Book Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
18TRA | DEZ | OK3 | PAE | 1CAT | IVG | |||
BIT:18TRA | DB:DEZ | DB:OK3 | DB:PAE | BIT:1CAT | BIT:IVG | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 13.0% | -4.3% | 3.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 44.8% | ||
3Y CAGR | 83.1% | 3.2% | 16.8% | 30.7% | 18.5% | 117.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 14.4% | -60.7% | 13.9% | -9.5% | 4.4% | 112.3% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 0.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 1.6% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 5.9% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 3.5% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 5.9% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 3.5% | ||
Return on Equity | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.2% | 4.7% | 13.7% | 21.9% | 41.6% | 5.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 15.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 31.7% | 58.5% | 10.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 16.3% | 5.3% | 17.3% | 24.9% | 55.4% | 21.2% | ||
Next Fiscal Year | 13.7% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 21.2% | 49.4% | 18.7% | ||
Two Fiscal Years Forward | 15.3% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 22.6% | 55.9% | 19.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.3x | 0.5x | 0.6x | 1.5x | 2.5x | 0.3x | ||
Price / LTM EPS | 5.6x | 22.0x | 9.1x | 12.5x | 14.8x | 7.4x | ||
Price / Book | 0.9x | 1.1x | 1.5x | 3.0x | 8.2x | 1.5x | ||
Price / Fwd Book | 0.8x | 1.0x | 1.3x | 2.8x | 9.8x | 1.3x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark P/B Ratio | 0.9x | 1.5x | 8.2x | |||||
Historical P/B Ratio | 0.0x | 0.8x | 1.5x | |||||
Selected P/B Multiple | 1.1x | 1.2x | 1.2x | |||||
(x) Book Value | 2,699 | 2,699 | 2,699 |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 18TRA | DEZ | OK3 | PAE | 1CAT | IVG | |
Value of Common Equity | 15,875 | 912 | 6,206 | 53,004 | 180,283 | 3,981 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 500.0 | 138.8 | 64.5 | 524.9 | 533.0 | 264.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 31.75 | 6.57 | 96.18 | 100.97 | 338.27 | 15.06 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 31.75 | 6.57 | 87.00 | 91.34 | 306.00 | 15.06 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.00 |