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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Selected Fwd Ps Multiple | 0.7x - 0.7x | 0.7x |
Fair Value | ARS 120.47 - ARS 133.15 | ARS 126.81 |
Upside | 4.3% - 15.3% | 9.8% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
Transportadora de Gas del Norte S.A. | - | BASE:TGNO4 |
YPF Sociedad Anónima | - | BASE:YPFD |
Inpex Corporation | 160,500.0% | TSE:1605 |
Japan Petroleum Exploration Co., Ltd. | 166,200.0% | TSE:1662 |
ENEOS Holdings, Inc. | - | DB:JHJ |
Sociedad Comercial del Plata S.A. | - | BASE:COME |
Select Price / LTM Sales Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
TGNO4 | YPFD | 1605 | 1662 | JHJ | COME | |||
BASE:TGNO4 | BASE:YPFD | TSE:1605 | TSE:1662 | DB:JHJ | BASE:COME | |||
Historical Sales Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 73.5% | 92.4% | 12.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 76.5% | ||
3Y CAGR | 113.6% | 138.7% | 22.1% | 16.0% | 4.1% | 80.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 118.6% | 131.8% | 1.1% | 19.4% | -11.1% | -15.8% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 3.9% | -1.0% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 1.9% | 4.5% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 61.6% | -28.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 2.1% | -11.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 9.7% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 0.0% | 11.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 32.3% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 20.9% | 0.0% | -16.3% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 3.4x | 5.5x | 1.8x | 1.3x | 5.0x | 20.7x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 2.8x | 0.8x | 1.1x | 0.7x | 0.2x | 0.7x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 8.7x | 10.2x | 5.7x | 3.3x | -554.2x | -4.2x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.8x | 2.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/S Ratio | 0.2x | 0.4x | 1.2x | |||||
Selected Price / Sales Multiple | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Sales | 523,811 | 523,811 | 523,811 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 354,191 | 372,833 | 391,475 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 3,119.0 | 3,119.0 | 3,119.0 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 113.56 | 119.54 | 125.51 | |||||
FX Rate: ARS/ARS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 113.56 | 119.54 | 125.51 | 115.50 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -1.7% | 3.5% | 8.7% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | TGNO4 | YPFD | 1605 | 1662 | JHJ | COME | |
Value of Common Equity | 1,309,334 | 16,391,311 | 2,515,558 | 269,220 | 1,891,999 | 360,246 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 439.4 | 393.3 | 1,197.6 | 255.9 | 2,690.4 | 3,119.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 2,980.00 | 41,675.00 | 2,100.50 | 1,052.00 | 703.25 | 115.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.52 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2,980.00 | 41,675.00 | 2,100.50 | 1,052.00 | 4.10 | 115.50 | |
Trading Currency | ARS | ARS | JPY | JPY | EUR | ARS | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 171.52 | 1.00 |