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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 7.2% - 7.8% | 7.5% |
Discount Rate | 13.3% - 12.3% | 12.8% |
Fair Value | ARS 7,924 - ARS 10,550 | ARS 9,049 |
Upside | -37.4% - -16.6% | -28.5% |
Project Adjusted Dividends | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | ||||||||
(USD in millions) | Sep-24 | Sep-25 | Sep-26 | Sep-27 | Sep-28 | Sep-29 | Terminal | |
Net Income to Common | 93,736 | 107,182 | 114,472 | 124,500 | 136,501 | 151,687 | 151,687 | |
% Growth | -3.4% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | ||
Payout Ratio | 16.3% | 31.0% | 46.0% | 61.0% | 76.0% | 90.0% | 92.5% | |
Projected Dividends | 15,234 | 33,226 | 52,657 | 75,945 | 103,741 | 136,518 | 140,310 | |
% Growth | 118.1% | 58.5% | 44.2% | 36.6% | 31.6% |
Historical Performance | ||||||||
Fiscal Year Ending | YTD | YTD | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Sep-20 | Sep-21 | Sep-22 | Sep-23 | Sep-24 | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | |
Cash Dividends Paid | 14,081 | 14,467 | 14,841 | 15,025 | 15,234 | 7,535 | 7,614 | |
% Growth | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | |||
Net Income to Common | 57,411 | 94,680 | 99,803 | 96,995 | 93,736 | 57,552 | 61,110 | |
% Growth | 65% | 5% | -3% | -3% | 6% | |||
Payout Ratio | 25% | 15% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 12% | |
Retention Ratio | 75% | 85% | 85% | 85% | 84% | 87% | 88% | |
Adjusted EBITDA | 77,344 | 120,233 | 130,541 | 125,820 | 134,661 | 73,957 | 78,162 | |
% Growth | 55% | 9% | -4% | 7% | 6% | |||
Total Debt | 122,278 | 136,522 | 132,480 | 123,930 | 119,059 | 104,590 | 98,186 | |
Shareholder's Equity | 65,339 | 63,090 | 50,672 | 62,146 | 56,950 | 74,194 | 66,796 | |
Debt / EBITDA | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | ||
Debt / Equity | 187% | 216% | 261% | 199% | 209% | 141% | 147% | |
3-Yr Avg. Dividend Growth | 1.7% | |||||||
5-Yr Median Payout Ratio | 15.5% |