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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 13.0% - 12.0% | 12.5% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 6.8x - 8.8x | 7.8x |
Fair Value | €0.42 - €1.18 | €0.79 |
Upside | -73.7% - -25.9% | -50.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 869 | 887 | 904 | 922 | 941 | 960 |
% Growth | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
% of Revenue | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (4) | (4) | (5) | (5) | (5) | |
EBIT | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Capital Expenditures | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) | (7) |
NWC Investment | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Free Cash Flow | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
% Growth | -2% | -8% | 2% | 2% | 2% |