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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 17.5x - 19.5x | 18.5x |
Fair Value | €25.63 - €29.57 | €27.56 |
Upside | -35.9% - -26.1% | -31.1% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 123 | 127 | 130 | 132 | 135 | 138 |
% Growth | 9.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | 38 | 39 | 40 | 40 | 41 | 42 |
% of Revenue | 31.2% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 30.6% | 30.6% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 39 | 40 | 40 | 41 | 42 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (10) | (10) | (10) | (10) | (11) | |
EBIT | 29 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 32 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (8) | (8) | (8) | (8) | (8) | |
NOPAT | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 |
Capital Expenditures | (15) | (11) | (11) | (13) | (13) | (13) |
NWC Investment | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
(+) D&A | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Free Cash Flow | 16 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
% Growth | 26% | 1% | -3% | 2% | 2% |