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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -40.0x - -44.2x | -42.1x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 6.4x - 7.0x | 6.7x |
| Fair Value | A$2.83 - A$3.13 | A$2.98 |
| Upside | -35.5% - -28.7% | -32.1% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| West African Resources Limited | - | ASX:WAF |
| St Barbara Limited | - | ASX:SBM |
| Aurelia Metals Limited | - | ASX:AMI |
| Alkane Resources Ltd | - | ASX:ALK |
| Ora Banda Mining Limited | - | ASX:OBM |
| Pantoro Gold Limited | - | ASX:PNR |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| WAF | SBM | AMI | ALK | OBM | PNR | |||
| ASX:WAF | ASX:SBM | ASX:AMI | ASX:ALK | ASX:OBM | ASX:PNR | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | 19.9% | 27.8% | NM- | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 5.8% | NM- | NM- | -22.2% | NM- | NM- | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 52.4% | -86.0% | 157.5% | 86.9% | 659.0% | 40.9% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 26.6% | -175.2% | -3.2% | 25.5% | 209.1% | -23.8% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 22.2% | -14.8% | -14.1% | 10.2% | -32.5% | -75.7% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 30.7% | -25.3% | -1.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | -21.5% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 30.7% | -25.3% | 4.4% | 12.6% | 22.2% | -9.3% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.4x | -7.4x | 2.7x | 14.7x | 14.4x | 28.2x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 4.5x | 1.7x | 1.0x | 5.2x | 4.5x | 6.0x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 14.5x | -6.9x | 22.0x | 40.9x | 20.4x | -64.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -6.9x | 20.4x | 40.9x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -91.2x | -11.4x | 32.7x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | -40.0x | -42.1x | -44.2x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | (27) | (27) | (27) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 1,075 | 1,131 | 1,188 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 393.8 | 393.8 | 393.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.73 | 2.87 | 3.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.73 | 2.87 | 3.02 | 4.39 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -37.8% | -34.6% | -31.3% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | WAF | SBM | AMI | ALK | OBM | PNR | |
| Value of Common Equity | 3,252 | 374 | 313 | 1,344 | 1,378 | 1,729 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,141.0 | 1,083.7 | 1,692.6 | 1,364.9 | 1,887.8 | 393.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 2.85 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.99 | 0.73 | 4.39 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 2.85 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.99 | 0.73 | 4.39 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |