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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | 4.2x - 4.7x | 4.4x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 5.7x - 6.3x | 6.0x |
Fair Value | A$0.46 - A$0.51 | A$0.49 |
Upside | -17.6% - -8.9% | -13.3% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Mount Gibson Iron Limited | - | ASX:MGX |
Kingsgate Consolidated Limited | - | ASX:KCN |
Talisman Mining Limited | - | ASX:TLM |
Regis Resources Limited | - | ASX:RRL |
St Barbara Limited | - | ASX:SBM |
Metals X Limited | - | ASX:MLX |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
MGX | KCN | TLM | RRL | SBM | MLX | |||
ASX:MGX | ASX:KCN | ASX:TLM | ASX:RRL | ASX:SBM | ASX:MLX | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -45.5% | 88.6% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | -53.5% | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | 64.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -249.4% | 1203.0% | 3.1% | 93.3% | 56.2% | 601.7% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -18.2% | -330.4% | -444.8% | 5.7% | -161.9% | 5.9% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 1.1% | 17.3% | 0.9% | -2.1% | -156.4% | 9.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 1.0% | 150.1% | -30.7% | -14.7% | -24.1% | 46.8% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -51.5% | 103.9% | -19.0% | -0.4% | -28.4% | 46.8% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 30.4x | 2.9x | -14.7x | 5.4x | -2.6x | 2.2x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.8x | 2.9x | 2.9x | 2.3x | 1.5x | 2.2x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | -1.6x | 2.8x | -15.0x | -590.7x | -5.3x | 4.7x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -590.7x | -5.3x | 2.8x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -12.2x | -2.1x | 4.7x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | 4.2x | 4.4x | 4.7x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | 102 | 102 | 102 | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 432 | 455 | 477 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 886.4 | 886.4 | 886.4 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.54 | |||||
FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.56 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -13.0% | -8.4% | -3.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | MGX | KCN | TLM | RRL | SBM | MLX | |
Value of Common Equity | 318 | 614 | 28 | 3,424 | 319 | 496 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,179.6 | 257.1 | 188.3 | 755.8 | 1,082.8 | 886.4 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.27 | 2.39 | 0.15 | 4.53 | 0.30 | 0.56 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.27 | 2.39 | 0.15 | 4.53 | 0.30 | 0.56 | |
Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |