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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -1.9x - -2.1x | -2.0x |
| Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 31.2x - 34.5x | 32.9x |
| Fair Value | A$3.40 - A$3.76 | A$3.58 |
| Upside | 4.1% - 15.1% | 9.6% |
| Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
| Evolution Mining Limited | - | ASX:EVN |
| Gold Road Resources Limited | - | ASX:GOR |
| Mineral Resources Limited | - | ASX:MIN |
| Westgold Resources Limited | - | ASX:WGX |
| Perenti Limited | - | ASX:PRN |
| IGO Limited | - | ASX:IGO |
| - | - | - |
| Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
| Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
| EVN | GOR | MIN | WGX | PRN | IGO | |||
| ASX:EVN | ASX:GOR | ASX:MIN | ASX:WGX | ASX:PRN | ASX:IGO | |||
| Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 14.1% | NM- | -5.2% | 47.8% | -12.0% | -48.3% | ||
| 3Y CAGR | 6.9% | 57.1% | -53.8% | 7.5% | NM- | -71.2% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 333.0% | 23.3% | -405.7% | -63.2% | -28.1% | -574.3% | ||
| Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 14.0% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 28.5% | ||
| Prior Fiscal Year | 7.3% | 24.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 53.6% | ||
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.1% | 27.0% | 2.4% | 13.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% | ||
| Latest Twelve Months | 17.7% | 27.0% | -24.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | -155.4% | ||
| Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 6.5x | 8.5x | 42.5x | 7.3x | 2.9x | -2.7x | ||
| Price / LTM Sales | 3.3x | 6.0x | 0.7x | 2.6x | 0.3x | 3.6x | ||
| LTM P/E Ratio | 18.6x | 22.4x | -3.0x | 105.0x | 12.9x | -2.3x | ||
| Low | Mid | High | ||||||
| Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -3.0x | 18.6x | 105.0x | |||||
| Historical LTM P/E Ratio | 16.4x | 23.2x | 37.4x | |||||
| Selected P/E Multiple | -1.9x | -2.0x | -2.1x | |||||
| (x) LTM Net Income | (1,068) | (1,068) | (1,068) | |||||
| (=) Equity Value | 2,062 | 2,171 | 2,279 | |||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 755.8 | 755.8 | 755.8 | |||||
| Implied Value Range | 2.73 | 2.87 | 3.02 | |||||
| FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 2.73 | 2.87 | 3.02 | 3.27 | ||||
| Upside / (Downside) | -16.6% | -12.2% | -7.8% | |||||
| Equity Value | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | EVN | GOR | MIN | WGX | PRN | IGO | |
| Value of Common Equity | 12,812 | 3,190 | 3,267 | 2,509 | 1,118 | 2,471 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 1,989.4 | 1,085.2 | 195.4 | 943.1 | 931.8 | 755.8 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 6.44 | 2.94 | 16.72 | 2.66 | 1.20 | 3.27 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 6.44 | 2.94 | 16.72 | 2.66 | 1.20 | 3.27 | |
| Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |