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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 11.5% - 10.5% | 11.0% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 4.7x - 6.7x | 5.7x |
Fair Value | A$1.29 - A$1.76 | A$1.52 |
Upside | 50.2% - 105.2% | 77.2% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(AUD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-24 | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 |
Revenue | 127 | 140 | 151 | 160 | 169 | 175 |
% Growth | -7.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
EBITDA | 11 | 14 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
% of Revenue | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(AUD in millions) | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | |
EBITDA | 14 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 20 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (4) | (3) | (3) | (5) | (5) | |
EBIT | 10 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 15 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (3) | (4) | (5) | (4) | (5) | |
NOPAT | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Capital Expenditures | (2) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (5) | (5) |
NWC Investment | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
Free Cash Flow | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
% Growth | 10% | 13% | 24% | -12% | 4% |