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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.8% - 8.8% | 9.3% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 0.0% - 0.5% | 0.0% |
Fair Value | A$0.86 - A$1.01 | A$0.91 |
Upside | 9.8% - 29.3% | 16.2% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(AUD in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Jun-25 | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | Jun-30 | |
Revenue | 20 | 24 | 29 | 34 | 38 | 41 | |
% Growth | 25.7% | 23.0% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 7.5% | |
EBITDA | -1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | |
% of Revenue | -4.2% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 24.3% | 25.3% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(AUD in millions) | Jun-26 | Jun-27 | Jun-28 | Jun-29 | Jun-30 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (0) | |
EBIT | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 10 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (1) | (2) | (2) | (3) | (3) | |
NOPAT | (1) | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
Capital Expenditures | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
NWC Investment | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | 0 |
(+) D&A | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Free Cash Flow | (2) | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
% Growth | NM | 2113% | 110% | 39% | 22% | 10% |