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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | -3.2x - -3.6x | -3.4x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | -4.3x - -4.8x | -4.5x |
Fair Value | A$0.63 - A$0.69 | A$0.66 |
Upside | 15.3% - 25.8% | 20.6% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Austin Metals Limited | AYT | ASX:AYT |
Andean Silver Limited | ASL | ASX:ASL |
Torque Metals Limited | TOR | ASX:TOR |
GBM Resources Limited | GBZ | ASX:GBZ |
Artemis Resources Limited | ARV | ASX:ARV |
Australian Strategic Materials Ltd | ASM | ASX:ASM |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
AYT | ASL | TOR | GBZ | ARV | ASM | ||
ASX:AYT | ASX:ASL | ASX:TOR | ASX:GBZ | ASX:ARV | ASX:ASM | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | NM- | |
Latest Twelve Months | -1196.3% | -230.0% | -38.4% | -531.1% | -60.9% | -14.9% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -4508.3% | -247768.9% | -3711.4% | -2185.2% | -8244.5% | -557.0% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | -4260.2% | -15321.8% | -1009.6% | -226.8% | -4116.2% | -441.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | -4210.6% | -2728.4% | -2492.8% | -2237.4% | -547.4% | -412.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | -27366.5% | -1167.3% | -2222.1% | -2138.9% | -1050.4% | -615.6% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 232.83x | 200.99x | 662.60x | 300.92x | 22.16x | 20.18x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.9x | -16.5x | -34.0x | -16.6x | -12.2x | -3.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | -0.9x | -17.2x | -29.8x | -14.1x | -2.1x | -3.3x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -29.8x | -14.1x | -0.9x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | -191.8x | -12.7x | -4.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | -3.2x | -3.4x | -3.6x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | (26) | (26) | (26) | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 83 | 87 | 92 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 16 | 16 | 16 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 99 | 103 | 108 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 181.3 | 181.3 | 181.3 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.59 | ||||
FX Rate: AUD/AUD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.55 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 8.8% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | AYT | ASL | TOR | GBZ | ARV | ASM | |
Enterprise Value | 6 | 201 | 128 | 27 | 10 | 83 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 1 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (0) | (1) | (6) | (0) | (17) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 6 | 227 | 129 | 22 | 13 | 99 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 1,584.2 | 184.3 | 526.6 | 1,171.1 | 2,865.7 | 181.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.00 | 1.23 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.55 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.00 | 1.23 | 0.25 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.55 | |
Trading Currency | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | AUD | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |