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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 11.3% - 10.3% | 10.8% |
| Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 7.3x - 9.3x | 8.3x |
| Fair Value | د.أ 2.80 - د.أ 4.23 | د.أ 3.50 |
| Upside | -30.1% - 5.8% | -12.5% |
| Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
| (JOD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
| Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
| Revenue | 161 | 181 | 194 | 201 | 205 | 209 |
| % Growth | 16.4% | 12.5% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| EBITDA | 19 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 |
| % of Revenue | 11.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.9% |
| Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
| Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
| (JOD in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
| EBITDA | 25 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 | |
| Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| D&A | (6) | (6) | (7) | (7) | (7) | |
| EBIT | 19 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | |
| Pro forma Taxes | (3) | (4) | (4) | (4) | (4) | |
| NOPAT | 12 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
| Capital Expenditures | (16) | (15) | (16) | (16) | (17) | (17) |
| NWC Investment | (7) | (6) | (4) | (2) | (1) | (1) |
| (+) D&A | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Free Cash Flow | (7) | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| % Growth | NM | 445% | 48% | 14% | 2% | |