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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 23.8x - 26.3x | 25.0x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 20.1x - 22.2x | 21.1x |
Fair Value | £4.44 - £4.90 | £4.67 |
Upside | 16.5% - 28.4% | 22.4% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
NIOX Group Plc | NIOX | AIM:NIOX |
Advanced Medical Solutions Group plc | AMS | AIM:AMS |
Surgical Innovations Group plc | SUN | AIM:SUN |
ConvaTec Group PLC | CTEC | LSE:CTEC |
Creo Medical Group PLC | CREO | AIM:CREO |
Tristel plc | TSTL | AIM:TSTL |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
NIOX | AMS | SUN | CTEC | CREO | TSTL | ||
AIM:NIOX | AIM:AMS | AIM:SUN | LSE:CTEC | AIM:CREO | AIM:TSTL | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | NM- | -15.0% | NM- | 10.3% | NM- | 8.2% | |
3Y CAGR | NM- | -21.3% | NM- | 14.9% | NM- | 13.4% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 67.4% | -40.6% | -8.5% | 19.5% | -4.9% | 32.2% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | -16.5% | 16.6% | -12.3% | 12.5% | -23396.8% | 15.3% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 12.5% | 15.0% | -4.9% | 13.7% | -660.0% | 14.9% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 18.4% | 6.3% | -5.3% | 15.3% | -692.5% | 16.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 18.4% | 6.3% | -5.3% | 15.3% | -692.5% | 19.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 6.77x | 2.82x | 0.63x | 3.28x | 11.86x | 4.05x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 25.7x | 22.0x | -20.3x | 14.2x | -1.8x | 18.7x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 36.7x | 44.6x | -11.9x | 21.4x | -1.7x | 21.2x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | -11.9x | 21.4x | 44.6x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 31.2x | 39.9x | 52.5x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 23.8x | 25.0x | 26.3x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 8 | 8 | 8 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 197 | 208 | 218 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 6 | 6 | 6 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 203 | 213 | 224 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 47.7 | 47.7 | 47.7 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 4.26 | 4.47 | 4.69 | ||||
FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 4.26 | 4.47 | 4.69 | 3.82 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 11.6% | 17.3% | 23.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | NIOX | AMS | SUN | CTEC | CREO | TSTL | |
Enterprise Value | 283 | 500 | 8 | 7,386 | 7 | 176 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 11 | 17 | 0 | 65 | 9 | 12 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 43 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (2) | (87) | (1) | (1,202) | (4) | (6) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 292 | 430 | 7 | 6,266 | 54 | 182 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 417.6 | 215.4 | 932.8 | 2,044.3 | 402.5 | 47.7 | |
Implied Stock Price | 0.70 | 2.00 | 0.01 | 3.07 | 0.13 | 3.82 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 0.70 | 2.00 | 0.01 | 2.31 | 0.13 | 3.82 | |
Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 |