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| Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
|---|---|---|
| Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 5.3x - 5.8x | 5.5x |
| Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 3.8x - 4.2x | 4.0x |
| Fair Value | £7.82 - £8.81 | £8.32 |
| Upside | 0.3% - 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
| Stelrad Group PLC | SRAD | LSE:SRAD |
| Northern Bear PLC | NTBR | AIM:NTBR |
| AIREA plc | AIEA | AIM:AIEA |
| Henry Boot PLC | BOOT | LSE:BOOT |
| Springfield Properties Plc | SPR | AIM:SPR |
| Colefax Group PLC | CFX | AIM:CFX |
| - | - | - |
| Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| SRAD | NTBR | AIEA | BOOT | SPR | CFX | ||
| LSE:SRAD | AIM:NTBR | AIM:AIEA | LSE:BOOT | AIM:SPR | AIM:CFX | ||
| Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
| 5Y CAGR | 20.2% | -2.3% | -9.2% | -8.7% | 0.1% | 7.1% | |
| 3Y CAGR | 0.2% | 80.9% | 5.0% | 13.4% | -4.4% | 11.8% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 6.6% | 2.4% | -25.7% | -12.7% | 0.3% | -4.3% | |
| Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
| 5 Year Average Margin | 12.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.8% | |
| Prior Fiscal Year | 11.9% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 11.7% | |
| Latest Fiscal Year | 13.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | |
| Latest Twelve Months | 13.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | |
| Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
| EV / LTM Revenue | 0.96x | 0.21x | 0.46x | 1.09x | 0.74x | 0.53x | |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | 7.2x | 4.3x | 7.1x | 10.7x | 9.5x | 5.3x | |
| EV / LTM EBIT | 9.4x | 6.0x | 9.8x | 12.4x | 9.9x | 6.9x | |
| Low | Mid | High | |||||
| Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.3x | 7.2x | 10.7x | ||||
| Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 5.5x | 6.9x | ||||
| Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.3x | 5.5x | 5.8x | ||||
| (x) LTM EBITDA | 11 | 11 | 11 | ||||
| (=) Implied Enterprise Value | 58 | 61 | 64 | ||||
| (-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (10) | (10) | (10) | ||||
| (=) Equity Value | 48 | 51 | 54 | ||||
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | ||||
| Implied Value Range | 7.79 | 8.28 | 8.78 | ||||
| FX Rate: GBP/GBP | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
| Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 7.79 | 8.28 | 8.78 | 7.80 | |||
| Upside / (Downside) | -0.1% | 6.2% | 12.5% | ||||
| Equity Waterfall | |||||||
| Benchmark Companies | |||||||
| (in millions) | SRAD | NTBR | AIEA | BOOT | SPR | CFX | |
| Enterprise Value | 280 | 15 | 10 | 356 | 185 | 58 | |
| (+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 19 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 19 | |
| (+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Debt | (86) | (5) | (1) | (79) | (77) | (28) | |
| (-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | (3) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | |
| (-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Value of Common Equity | 213 | 11 | 11 | 304 | 117 | 48 | |
| (/) Shares Outstanding | 127.4 | 13.8 | 38.6 | 133.8 | 119.0 | 6.2 | |
| Implied Stock Price | 1.67 | 0.82 | 0.28 | 2.27 | 0.98 | 7.80 | |
| FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 1.67 | 0.82 | 0.28 | 2.27 | 0.98 | 7.80 | |
| Trading Currency | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | GBP | |
| FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
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